Jeffrey Shaman is an infectious disease modeler at the Mailman School of Public Health of Columbia University. His background is in climate, atmospheric science and hydrology, as well as biology. He studies the environmental determinants of infectious disease transmission, in particular, how atmospheric conditions impact the survival, transmission and seasonality of pathogens and how hydrologic variability affects mosquito ecology and mosquito-borne disease transmission. More broadly he is interested in how meteorology affects human health. Much of his work is computational, employing combined model-inference systems to forecast infectious disease outbreaks at a range of time scales. Shaman also studies a number of climate phenomena, including Rossby wave dynamics, atmospheric jet waveguides, the coupled South Asian monsoon-ENSO system, extratropical precipitation, and tropical cyclogenesis. He lives in New York City with his beautiful wife, Sila, a composer and musician, and their two wonderful daughters.
Shaman, J., Yang, W., Kandula, S. “Inference and Forecast of the Current West African Ebola Outbreak in Guinea, Sierra Leone and Liberia” PLOS Currents Outbreaks. (2014)
Shaman, J., Karspeck, A., Yang, W., Tamerius, JD., Lipsitch, M. “Real-time influenza forecasts during the 2012-2013 season,” Nature Communications (2013).
Koep T. H., Enders, F.T., Pierret, C., Ekker, S.C., Krageschmidt, D., Neff, K.L, Lipsitch, M., Shaman, J., Huskins, C. H., “Predictors of indoor absolute humidity and estimated effects on influenza virus survival in grade schools,” BMC Infectious Diseases (2013)
Shaman, J., Lipsitch, M., “The ENSO-Pandemic Influenza Connection: Coincident or Causal?” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2013).
Shaman, J, Karspeck, A., “Forecasting Seasonal Outbreaks of Influenza,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2012).
Shaman, J., Samelson, R.M., Tziperman, E., “Complex Wavenumber Rossby Wave Ray Tracing,” Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences (2012).
Shaman, J., “Strategies for Controlling the Enzootic Amplification of Arboviruses,” Journal of Medical Entomology (2011).
Shaman, J., Tziperman, E., “An Atmospheric Teleconnection Linking ENSO and Southwestern European Precipitation,” Journal of Climate (2011).
Shaman, J., Kohn, MA., “Absolute Humidity Modulates Influenza Survival, Transmission and Seasonality,” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2009).
Shaman, J., Day, JF., “Reproductive Phase Locking of Mosquito Populations in Response to Rainfall Frequency,” PLoS ONE (2007).
Shaman, J,. Tziperman, E., “The Effect of ENSO Variability on Tibetan Plateau Snow Depth: A Stationary Wave Teleconnection Mechanism and Implications for the South Asian Monsoons,” Journal of Climate (2005).
Shaman, J., Day, J., Stieglitz, M.. Drought-induced amplification of St. Louis encephalitis virus, Florida. Emerging Infectious Diseases (2002).